Who is Kevin Warsh, Trump’s pick for new Fed chair? – Firstpost

Who is Kevin Warsh, Trump’s pick for new Fed chair? – Firstpost


It is official. US President Donald Trump has picked Kevin Warsh to replace Jerome Powell as Federal Reserve chief, bringing an end to his long search for a replacement.

Trump’s pick will be under great scrutiny. The US president has long called for interest rates to be brought down and made no secret of his unhappiness with Powell, who is now under criminal investigation by the United States government.

Warsh,
a former Federal Reserve governor, was one of the front-runners for the post. Trump, taking to social media, has claimed that Warsh “may be the best” ever pick for central bank chief. Warsh in turn told Trump that he will “never let you down”.

STORY CONTINUES BELOW THIS AD

Warsh is the youngest person to have ever served on the Fed’s powerful board.

But who is Warsh? What do we know about him?

Let’s take a closer look

Warsh’s background and career

Kevin Maxwell Warsh was born on April 13, 1970.

He built his career across finance, government, and academia. Warsh served as a member of the Federal Reserve’s Board of Governors from 2006 to 2011, after being appointed by then-US president George W Bush.

During his tenure, Warsh played a key role during the 2008 global financial crisis. He served as the Fed’s primary liaison to major financial institutions and was deeply involved in crisis-management efforts that shaped the trajectory of the US economic recovery. He also represented the Federal Reserve at meetings of the Group of Twenty (G20) and acted as a central point of contact between the US central bank and both emerging and advanced economies across Asia.

Before joining the Fed, Warsh worked at Morgan Stanley as a vice president and executive director in the firm’s mergers and acquisitions division. He later served in the Bush administration as Special Assistant to the President for Economic Policy and as Executive Secretary of the White House National Economic Council.

In the years since leaving the Fed, Warsh has remained active in economic policy discussions. He currently serves as the Shepard Family Distinguished Visiting Fellow in Economics at Stanford University’s Hoover Institution and lectures at Stanford’s Graduate School of Business.

He is also a member of the Group of Thirty, serves on the Panel of Economic Advisers to the Congressional Budget Office, and has advised both private and public sector organisations. He was previously a member of the steering committee of the Bilderberg Group.

STORY CONTINUES BELOW THIS AD

Warsh has frequently been mentioned as a candidate for senior economic roles, including US Treasury secretary. In June 2025, he was reported as a leading contender, alongside Scott Bessent, to succeed Powell as Fed chair.

What Warsh thinks of the Fed

In recent years, Warsh has become one of the Federal Reserve’s most prominent internal critics. He has argued that the central bank has strayed from its core mission and has called for what he has described as “regime change” in how it operates.

His criticisms have focused on several areas, including the Fed’s heavy reliance on economic data, the expansion of its balance sheet, and its handling of inflation. While Warsh was regarded as relatively hawkish during his time as a Fed governor — favouring tighter policy and vigilance against price pressures — he is now widely viewed as supportive of lower interest rates in the near term.

Trump has reinforced that perception. Speaking to the Wall Street Journal in December, the US president said, “He thinks you have to lower interest rates. And so does everybody else that I’ve talked to.”

Warsh has argued that reducing the Fed’s balance sheet
could help bring down short-term interest rates, a position that has drawn debate among economists who question whether that approach would deliver the intended effect.

STORY CONTINUES BELOW THIS AD

What Warsh thinks about inflation, spending

Warsh has been outspoken about what he sees as the underlying causes of recent inflation.

In a 2022 Wall Street Journal op-ed, he wrote that rising prices stemmed from “a government that spent too much and a central bank that printed too much,” a framing that contrasts with the view of many mainstream economists, who have emphasised pandemic-era supply disruptions and demand shocks.

That critique has resonated strongly with fiscal conservatives and aligns with Trump’s broader messaging on government spending.

In a March 2025 interview with Fox Business, Warsh addressed the impact of Trump’s trade tariffs and broader economic conditions, stating, “The president inherited a fiscal and economic and regulatory mess, and it’s going to take a little digging out to be on a stronger platform for growth.”

On inflation policy, he was even more direct. “Inflation is a choice, and the Fed has made a lot of bad choices over these last several years,” Warsh said.

He went on to argue that executive action was necessary, adding, “The president has to take matters into his own hands and try to kill inflation by reducing government spending.”

STORY CONTINUES BELOW THIS AD

Despite his alignment with Trump on rate cuts, Warsh has also warned against political interference in monetary policy. He has argued that the Federal Reserve must demonstrate independence not merely rhetorically but through its actions. Referencing minutes from past Fed meetings, Warsh has criticised the consideration of political developments — including Trump’s own policies — in inflation forecasting.

However, not everyone is a fan.

“He got the policy response wrong in the aftermath of the Great Financial Crisis,” economist Joe Brusuelas told CNN on Thursday. “He truly did not understand the nature, magnitude and implications of the Depression-like shock that occurred.”

“During the defining crisis of our time – the Great Financial Crisis – Kevin Warsh continued to extoll inflation as the primary risk during 2007-08 as a massively deflationary event was unleashed via the near collapse of the American banking sector and freezing up of credit markets that ensued.”

How Trump’s decision was shaped by months of conflict 

Trump’s announcement comes after nearly a year of open confrontation with
current Fed Chair Jerome Powell, whose term ends in May.

Throughout this period, the president has repeatedly criticised Powell for resisting deeper and faster interest rate cuts, arguing that looser monetary policy is essential to accelerate economic growth.

STORY CONTINUES BELOW THIS AD

Powell, by contrast, has taken a cautious approach to rate reductions, particularly in the context of elevated inflation pressures following Trump’s tariffs. The policy divergence has evolved into a broader clash over the Federal Reserve’s role, independence, and accountability.

The dispute escalated further when
Trump began attacking Powell over the cost of renovations at the Federal Reserve’s headquarters in Washington. That criticism culminated earlier this month in subpoenas being issued by the Justice Department to the central bank.

In response, Powell took the unusual step of issuing a recorded public statement defending the institution’s decision-making process. “The threat of criminal charges is a consequence of the Federal Reserve setting interest rates based on our best assessment of what will serve the public, rather than following the preferences of the president,” Powell said.

How a new Fed chair does not mean the end of Powell

While Powell’s tenure as chair is nearing its end, his role within the Federal Reserve does not automatically conclude in May. His term as a member of the Board of Governors runs through 2028, giving him the option to remain in place even after stepping down as chair.

If Powell chooses to stay, it could complicate Trump’s ability to rapidly reshape the central bank’s leadership. Of the seven current governors, three were appointed by former president Joe Biden, who also renominated Powell to a second term as chair. That composition limits how quickly Trump could secure a majority aligned with his policy preferences.

STORY CONTINUES BELOW THIS AD

Powell’s continued presence could also introduce procedural hurdles. Should Trump wish to install a new governor alongside appointing a new chair, he would need either to elevate an existing board member or replace
Stephen Miran, who is currently on leave from his role as chair of the White House Council of Economic Advisers while filling a Fed governor term that technically expires on Saturday.

Replacing Miran would open a pathway for a new appointment.

At a recent press conference, Powell declined to say whether he would remain on the board but offered pointed advice to his successor on maintaining institutional credibility.

“Don’t get pulled into elected politics — don’t do it,” Powell said. He also emphasised that the Federal Reserve’s democratic accountability runs through Congress, adding that engagement with lawmakers is not optional but “an affirmative regular obligation.”

With inputs from agencies



Source link

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *